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VHSL Football - 2018 Pythagorean Expectations

A Pythagorean (expectation) projection is an approximation of each team’s wins based solely on points scored and allowed. The concept was first used by Bill James, an influential baseball writer and statistician, who found that a team’s record was very closely correlated by taking the square of the team’s runs scored and dividing it by the square of the team’s runs plus the square of the team’s runs allowed.

Statistician Daryl Morey of STATS, Inc., later adapted this formula for professional football using 2.37 and I further found that the exponent 2.7 works better for VHSL football.
I applied this formula to each team and found out which teams are out performing their projected winning percentage and which ones were under performing.

The key is as follows: W = Actual wins L = Actual losses  PFALL = Points for  PAALL = Points against  Projected W = Projected Wins  Projected L = Projected Losses
Win Difference is computed by calculating the number of wins the formula computed (Projected W) and subtracting that from the number of actual wins (Actual W).
A positive number means the team had more wins that the formula expected, a negative numbers means less wins than expected.

 # Team ACT W ACT L Proj W Proj L ACT vs Proj Diff State Rating PF PA %PTS Div Group Region District 1 Grundy 5 5 9.08 0.92 -4.08 30.3 282 121 0.70 1 A 1D Black Diamond 2 Varina 7 5 10.88 1.12 -3.88 80.8 422 182 0.70 5 AAA 5B Capital 3 Deep Creek 6 5 9.82 1.18 -3.82 75.5 349 159 0.69 4 AA 4A Southeastern 4 Southampton 5 5 8.59 1.41 -3.59 36.0 312 160 0.66 3 AA 3A Tri-Rivers 5 Mount Vernon 5 6 8.57 2.43 -3.57 56.8 443 278 0.61 6 AAA 6C District 3 6 Narrows 8 4 11.51 0.49 -3.51 35.6 482 150 0.76 1 A 1C Pioneer 7 Chilhowie 8 5 11.45 1.55 -3.45 33.0 576 275 0.68 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 8 Floyd County 7 5 10.40 1.60 -3.40 46.0 306 153 0.67 2 A 2C Three Rivers 9 Hampton 8 4 11.36 0.64 -3.36 71.2 336 116 0.74 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 10 T.C. Williams 5 5 8.16 1.84 -3.16 66.2 398 229 0.63 6 AAA 6C District 3 11 West Point 6 5 9.11 1.89 -3.11 3.8 326 182 0.64 1 A 1A Tidewater 12 New Kent 3 7 6.02 3.98 -3.02 42.1 260 223 0.54 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 13 Colonial Beach 7 4 9.97 1.03 -2.97 26.9 336 145 0.70 1 A 1A Northern Neck 14 Gloucester 4 7 6.93 4.07 -2.93 49.3 246 202 0.55 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 15 Smithfield 8 4 10.92 1.08 -2.92 72.8 400 170 0.70 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 16 Arcadia 2 7 4.88 4.12 -2.88 -2.1 132 124 0.52 2 A 2A Eastern Shore-A 17 Galax 10 4 12.81 1.19 -2.81 47.7 545 226 0.71 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 18 Rockbridge County 4 7 6.74 4.26 -2.74 43.3 415 350 0.54 3 AA 3C Valley 19 South Lakes 9 3 11.74 0.26 -2.74 81.2 563 137 0.80 6 AAA 6D District 2 20 Hopewell 10 4 12.71 1.29 -2.71 80.8 460 197 0.70 3 AA 3A Central 21 Warhill 6 5 8.69 2.31 -2.69 59.2 340 208 0.62 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 22 E.C. Glass 6 5 8.67 2.33 -2.67 69.7 405 249 0.62 4 AA 4D Seminole 23 North Stafford 8 4 10.63 1.37 -2.63 84.1 498 233 0.68 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 24 Oscar Smith 12 3 14.62 0.38 -2.62 104.3 532 138 0.79 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 25 John Battle 5 5 7.59 2.41 -2.59 41.1 407 266 0.60 2 A 2D Mountain 26 Riverbend 5 7 7.55 4.45 -2.55 72.6 292 240 0.55 6 AAA 6B Commonwealth 27 Virginia 6 5 8.54 2.46 -2.54 57.6 263 166 0.61 2 A 2D Southwest 28 Warren County 6 6 8.49 3.51 -2.49 38.1 323 233 0.58 3 AA 3B Northwestern 29 Freedom 9 3 11.46 0.54 -2.46 82.7 676 218 0.76 6 AAA 6C Eastern 30 Kings Fork 10 3 12.43 0.57 -2.43 83.6 477 152 0.76 4 AA 4A Southeastern 31 C.D. Hylton 9 4 11.42 1.58 -2.42 83.3 561 270 0.68 6 AAA 6C Eastern 32 J.E.B. Stuart 3 6 5.41 3.59 -2.41 31.9 306 263 0.54 6 AAA 6C District 5 33 Woodbridge 9 3 11.40 0.60 -2.40 85.2 453 152 0.75 6 AAA 6C Eastern 34 Gretna 5 5 7.40 2.60 -2.40 50.7 280 190 0.60 2 A 2C Dogwood 35 Nottoway 7 4 9.40 1.60 -2.40 31.1 345 179 0.66 2 A 2A James River 36 Stuarts Draft 5 5 7.34 2.66 -2.34 43.9 310 213 0.59 2 A 2B Shenandoah 37 Poquoson 10 4 12.29 1.71 -2.29 65.8 363 175 0.67 2 AA 2A Bay Rivers 38 Grayson County 6 6 8.27 3.73 -2.27 45.7 321 239 0.57 2 A 2D Mtn. Empire 39 Castlewood 4 6 6.22 3.78 -2.22 7.3 286 238 0.55 1 A 1D Cumberland 40 Sussex Central 9 3 11.14 0.86 -2.14 47.2 424 164 0.72 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 41 Thomas Dale 9 3 11.13 0.87 -2.13 84.7 431 168 0.72 6 AAA 6B Central 42 Covington 7 5 9.13 2.87 -2.13 27.5 408 266 0.61 1 A 1C Pioneer 43 Heritage(Lyn) 11 3 13.10 0.90 -2.10 75.7 718 266 0.73 3 AA 3C Seminole 44 Blacksburg 10 3 12.08 0.92 -2.08 82.5 575 222 0.72 4 AA 4D River Ridge 45 Liberty(Beal) 9 3 11.06 0.94 -2.06 73.5 423 170 0.71 4 AA 4C Northwestern 46 Woodside 8 3 10.04 0.96 -2.04 75.8 368 154 0.70 6 AAA 6A Peninsula 47 Greensville 7 4 9.04 1.96 -2.04 41.2 368 209 0.64 2 A 2A Tri-Rivers 48 Battlefield 8 4 10.03 1.97 -2.03 77.3 298 163 0.65 6 AAA 6D Western 49 William Byrd 8 3 9.97 1.03 -1.97 76.7 385 166 0.70 4 AA 4D Blue Ridge 50 Buffalo Gap 6 5 7.96 3.04 -1.96 48.9 413 289 0.59 2 A 2B Shenandoah 51 Indian River 8 4 9.95 2.05 -1.95 82.2 411 229 0.64 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 52 Staunton River 10 3 11.94 1.06 -1.94 79.8 734 299 0.71 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 53 Lee 6 5 7.93 3.07 -1.93 44.2 284 200 0.59 2 A 2D Shenandoah 54 Ridgeview 7 4 8.92 2.08 -1.92 43.0 271 158 0.63 2 A 2D Mountain 55 Stafford 7 5 8.77 3.23 -1.77 81.6 407 281 0.59 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 56 Central(W) 9 2 10.77 0.23 -1.77 56.8 611 147 0.81 2 A 2B Bull Run 57 Lafayette 12 2 13.76 0.24 -1.76 85.1 518 116 0.82 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 58 Harrisonburg 7 5 8.74 3.26 -1.74 62.7 441 306 0.59 5 AA 5D Valley 59 Brooke Point 9 4 10.70 2.30 -1.70 91.2 398 225 0.64 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 60 Fort Chiswell 6 5 7.69 3.31 -1.69 39.9 317 232 0.58 2 A 2C Mtn. Empire 61 Richlands 6 6 7.67 4.33 -1.67 61.6 204 165 0.55 2 AA 2D Southwest 62 Riverheads 12 2 13.56 0.44 -1.56 66.3 503 141 0.78 1 A 1B Shenandoah 63 Graham 9 3 10.51 1.49 -1.51 73.0 398 193 0.67 2 A 2D Southwest 64 Essex 12 2 13.50 0.50 -1.50 51.0 574 169 0.77 1 A 1A Northern Neck 65 Sherando 10 3 11.50 1.50 -1.50 83.5 525 247 0.68 4 AA 4C Northwestern 66 Woodgrove 7 4 8.49 2.51 -1.49 73.9 399 254 0.61 4 AA 4C Dulles 67 Millbrook 8 3 9.44 1.56 -1.44 78.3 362 186 0.66 4 AA 4C Northwestern 68 L.C. Bird 9 3 10.42 1.58 -1.42 77.9 372 185 0.67 5 AAA 5B Dominion 69 Goochland 11 2 12.42 0.58 -1.42 57.4 500 161 0.76 2 A 2A James River 70 Glenvar 12 2 13.41 0.59 -1.41 68.3 443 139 0.76 2 A 2C Three Rivers 71 Dinwiddie 11 2 12.40 0.60 -1.40 88.9 608 198 0.75 4 AA 4B Central 72 Landstown 9 3 10.36 1.64 -1.36 85.8 376 190 0.66 6 AAA 6A Beach 73 Monticello 9 3 10.36 1.64 -1.36 68.2 536 271 0.66 3 AA 3C Jefferson 74 John Champe 8 4 9.36 2.64 -1.36 82.4 404 253 0.61 5 AA 5C Potomac 75 Martinsville 4 7 5.34 5.66 -1.34 48.5 327 334 0.49 2 A 2C Piedmont 76 Colonial Forge 11 2 12.31 0.69 -1.31 100.0 488 168 0.74 6 AAA 6B Commonwealth 77 Eastside 5 5 6.28 3.72 -1.28 20.0 362 298 0.55 1 A 1D Cumberland 78 Heritage(Le) 6 4 7.26 2.74 -1.26 63.1 231 161 0.59 4 AA 4C Dulles 79 James Robinson 6 4 7.23 2.77 -1.23 74.8 337 236 0.59 6 AAA 6C District 4 80 Nansemond River 8 5 9.22 3.78 -1.22 79.8 381 274 0.58 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 81 Dominion 7 4 8.21 2.79 -1.21 68.3 337 226 0.60 4 AA 4C Dulles 82 Ocean Lakes 11 2 12.21 0.79 -1.21 91.4 424 154 0.73 6 AAA 6A Beach 83 Booker T. Washington 4 6 5.19 4.81 -1.19 46.2 250 243 0.51 3 AA 3A Eastern 84 Hermitage 11 2 12.18 0.82 -1.18 100.4 424 156 0.73 5 AAA 5B Colonial 85 Kettle Run 8 4 9.18 2.82 -1.18 70.1 390 252 0.61 4 AA 4C Northwestern 86 Abingdon 7 4 8.17 2.83 -1.17 60.1 286 193 0.60 3 AA 3D Mountain 87 Middlesex 4 6 5.14 4.86 -1.14 8.5 284 278 0.51 1 A 1A Tidewater 88 Lunenburg 6 6 7.12 4.88 -1.12 28.1 476 414 0.53 1 A 1B James River 89 R.E. Lee(ST) 11 3 12.11 1.89 -1.11 68.1 676 340 0.67 2 A 2B Shenandoah 90 Broad Run 10 3 11.08 1.92 -1.08 87.3 387 202 0.66 5 AAA 5C Potomac 91 Stone Bridge 11 2 12.06 0.94 -1.06 96.3 549 213 0.72 5 AAA 5C Potomac 92 South County 7 5 8.04 3.96 -1.04 83.1 355 273 0.57 6 AAA 6C District 4 93 Norcom 7 3 8.00 2.00 -1.00 69.6 179 107 0.63 3 AA 3A Eastern 94 Luray 10 3 10.98 2.02 -0.98 56.6 511 273 0.65 2 A 2B Shenandoah 95 Patriot 8 3 8.96 2.04 -0.96 81.8 436 252 0.63 6 AAA 6D Western 96 Northumberland 6 4 6.95 3.05 -0.95 23.5 391 288 0.58 1 A 1A Northern Neck 97 Lee-Davis 6 5 6.95 4.05 -0.95 74.6 358 293 0.55 5 AAA 5B Capital 98 Charlottesville 6 5 6.91 4.09 -0.91 65.4 477 393 0.55 4 AA 4D Jefferson 99 John Marshall 1 9 1.89 8.11 -0.89 27.8 231 396 0.37 3 AA 3B Colonial 100 Eastern View 11 1 11.88 0.12 -0.88 83.2 679 125 0.84 4 AA 4B Battlefield 101 Phoebus 10 1 10.87 0.13 -0.87 79.2 366 72 0.84 3 AA 3A Peninsula 102 Salem(VB) 9 4 9.85 3.15 -0.85 74.6 334 219 0.60 5 AAA 5A Beach 103 James Madison 8 4 8.84 3.16 -0.84 82.3 312 213 0.59 6 AAA 6D District 1 104 Heritage(NN) 7 4 7.84 3.16 -0.84 60.3 287 205 0.58 4 AA 4A Peninsula 105 George Marshall 7 4 7.81 3.19 -0.81 63.6 411 295 0.58 6 AAA 6D District 5 106 Courtland 7 4 7.81 3.19 -0.81 76.0 330 237 0.58 4 AA 4B Battlefield 107 Manchester 11 2 11.78 1.22 -0.78 82.3 590 255 0.70 6 AAA 6B Dominion 108 Craig County 0 10 0.77 9.23 -0.77 -15.6 124 311 0.29 1 A 1C Pioneer 109 Giles 10 3 10.77 2.23 -0.77 67.0 464 259 0.64 2 A 2C Three Rivers 110 Douglas Freeman 5 5 5.77 4.23 -0.77 65.8 240 214 0.53 5 AAA 5B Colonial 111 Huguenot 4 7 4.76 6.24 -0.76 51.1 273 302 0.47 4 AA 4B Dominion 112 Henrico 8 3 8.74 2.26 -0.74 89.0 421 255 0.62 5 AAA 5B Capital 113 Monacan 11 2 11.73 1.27 -0.73 84.7 417 183 0.70 4 AA 4B Dominion 114 Louisa 12 2 12.73 1.27 -0.73 87.1 667 284 0.70 4 AA 4B Jefferson 115 Glen Allen 2 8 2.70 7.30 -0.70 43.6 277 400 0.41 5 AAA 5B Colonial 116 Amelia County 6 4 6.69 3.31 -0.69 36.2 310 239 0.56 2 A 2A James River 117 Deep Run 4 6 4.66 5.34 -0.66 58.5 270 284 0.49 5 AAA 5B Colonial 118 Loudoun County 6 5 6.66 4.34 -0.66 59.4 328 280 0.54 4 AA 4C Dulles 119 Pulaski County 6 4 6.64 3.36 -0.64 66.2 355 276 0.56 4 AA 4D River Ridge 120 Appomattox 13 2 13.63 1.37 -0.63 84.3 648 277 0.70 2 A 2C Dogwood 121 Clarke County 10 2 10.61 1.39 -0.61 65.6 433 204 0.68 2 A 2B Bull Run 122 Union 12 1 12.59 0.41 -0.59 80.0 434 122 0.78 2 A 2D Mountain 123 Spotswood 7 5 7.55 4.45 -0.55 50.4 355 292 0.55 3 AA 3C Valley 124 GW-Danville 10 2 10.54 1.46 -0.54 76.3 666 320 0.68 4 AA 4D Piedmont 125 Page 2 8 2.53 7.47 -0.53 20.2 263 393 0.40 2 A 2B Shenandoah 126 West Potomac 5 5 5.49 4.51 -0.49 73.7 273 254 0.52 6 AAA 6C District 3 127 R.E. Lee(S) 4 7 4.46 6.54 -0.46 38.1 302 348 0.46 5 AAA 5C District 5 128 William Campbell 8 4 8.44 3.56 -0.44 51.9 475 345 0.58 1 A 1B Dogwood 129 J.R. Tucker 4 6 4.43 5.57 -0.43 60.0 307 334 0.48 5 AAA 5B Colonial 130 Centreville 8 3 8.41 2.59 -0.41 78.5 317 205 0.61 6 AAA 6D District 1 131 Bayside 6 5 6.41 4.59 -0.41 74.5 267 236 0.53 6 AAA 6A Beach 132 Thomas Walker 5 6 5.33 5.67 -0.33 -1.0 170 174 0.49 1 A 1D Cumberland 133 Park View(St) 0 10 0.32 9.68 -0.32 27.7 162 574 0.22 4 AA 4C Dulles 134 Warwick 2 8 2.31 7.69 -0.31 39.0 164 256 0.39 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 135 Bluestone 3 7 3.31 6.69 -0.31 17.8 225 292 0.44 2 A 2A James River 136 Marion 8 3 8.31 2.69 -0.31 49.2 381 251 0.60 2 A 2D Southwest 137 Princess Anne 4 7 4.31 6.69 -0.31 60.0 265 312 0.46 5 AAA 5A Beach 138 George Wythe(R) 0 10 0.31 9.69 -0.31 24.8 145 522 0.22 3 AA 3B Dominion 139 Northampton 3 6 3.29 5.71 -0.29 -3.5 185 227 0.45 1 A 1A Eastern Shore-A 140 George Mason 5 6 5.28 5.72 -0.28 37.6 299 308 0.49 2 A 2B Bull Run 141 King & Queen 0 5 0.27 4.73 -0.27 -35.6 21 61 0.26 1 A 1A Tidewater 142 Salem 13 2 13.24 1.76 -0.24 96.7 663 314 0.68 4 AA 4D River Ridge 143 Halifax County 5 5 5.23 4.77 -0.23 43.6 274 265 0.51 5 AAA 5D Piedmont 144 Herndon 4 6 4.22 5.78 -0.22 42.0 187 210 0.47 6 AAA 6D District 2 145 W.T. Woodson 4 6 4.21 5.79 -0.21 50.4 207 233 0.47 6 AAA 6C District 4 146 George Wythe(W) 7 4 7.20 3.80 -0.20 45.9 303 239 0.56 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 147 Magna Vista 10 3 10.20 2.80 -0.20 67.5 334 207 0.62 3 AA 3D Piedmont 148 Riverside 1 9 1.19 8.81 -0.19 8.0 119 250 0.32 4 AA 4C Dulles 149 Kempsville 0 10 0.19 9.81 -0.19 36.0 93 403 0.19 5 AAA 5A Beach 150 Highland Springs 13 1 13.18 0.82 -0.18 107.8 525 188 0.74 5 AAA 5B Capital 151 Freedom(R) 1 9 1.16 8.84 -0.16 41.7 172 365 0.32 5 AAA 5C Potomac 152 Stonewall Jackson(Q) 0 10 0.14 9.86 -0.14 14.1 130 622 0.17 1 A 1B Shenandoah 153 Lord Botetourt 10 3 10.10 2.90 -0.10 78.4 368 232 0.61 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 154 Eastern Montgomery 3 7 3.04 6.96 -0.04 0.7 173 235 0.42 1 A 1C Pioneer 155 Green Run 3 7 3.02 6.98 -0.02 51.0 244 333 0.42 5 AAA 5A Beach 156 West Springfield 6 5 6.01 4.99 -0.01 62.0 284 265 0.52 6 AAA 6C District 4 157 East Rockingham 7 4 6.99 4.01 0.01 51.1 343 279 0.55 2 A 2B Shenandoah 158 Oakton 3 7 2.95 7.05 0.05 56.4 245 338 0.42 6 AAA 6D District 1 159 Waynesboro 5 7 4.93 7.07 0.07 41.6 288 329 0.47 3 AA 3C Valley 160 Maury 3 7 2.91 7.09 0.09 51.9 256 356 0.42 5 AAA 5A Eastern 161 Park View(SH) 5 4 4.85 4.15 0.15 35.3 247 233 0.51 3 AA 3A Tri-Rivers 162 Fort Defiance 1 9 0.85 9.15 0.15 13.8 169 407 0.29 3 AA 3C Valley 163 York 8 5 7.83 5.17 0.17 63.2 336 288 0.54 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 164 Western Albemarle 5 6 4.83 6.17 0.17 50.0 211 231 0.48 3 AA 3C Jefferson 165 Nandua 5 6 4.82 6.18 0.18 -3.6 188 206 0.48 2 A 2A Eastern Shore-A 166 Patrick Henry(GS) 8 3 7.81 3.19 0.19 28.8 436 313 0.58 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 167 Rye Cove 1 9 0.79 9.21 0.21 -22.6 121 300 0.29 1 A 1D Cumberland 168 Thomas Jefferson(R) 6 5 5.76 5.24 0.24 50.6 371 358 0.51 3 AA 3B Colonial 169 Granby 5 6 4.75 6.25 0.25 62.8 224 248 0.47 6 AAA 6A Eastern 170 Westfield 14 1 13.74 1.26 0.26 108.8 467 193 0.71 6 AAA 6D District 1 171 Rappahannock 3 6 2.73 6.27 0.27 5.7 214 291 0.42 1 A 1A Northern Neck 172 Tallwood 5 6 4.73 6.27 0.27 66.1 246 273 0.47 6 AAA 6A Beach 173 Lake Braddock 9 4 8.73 4.27 0.27 86.1 353 271 0.57 6 AAA 6C District 4 174 Radford 4 7 3.72 7.28 0.28 36.1 167 214 0.44 2 A 2C Three Rivers 175 Caroline 1 8 0.72 8.28 0.28 38.4 145 359 0.29 4 AA 4B Battlefield 176 Buckingham County 5 4 4.64 4.36 0.36 34.9 223 218 0.51 2 A 2C James River 177 Christiansburg 1 9 0.63 9.37 0.37 32.5 161 438 0.27 3 AA 3D River Ridge 178 Manassas Park 1 9 0.62 9.38 0.38 17.7 169 462 0.27 3 AA 3B Northwestern 179 Clover Hill 2 8 1.61 8.39 0.39 42.5 193 356 0.35 6 AAA 6B Dominion 180 Yorktown 7 4 6.58 4.42 0.42 59.0 335 289 0.54 6 AAA 6D District 2 181 Tuscarora 12 3 11.57 3.43 0.43 97.0 466 297 0.61 5 AAA 5C Potomac 182 Amherst County 6 5 5.54 5.46 0.46 79.8 407 405 0.50 4 AA 4D Seminole 183 Jamestown 1 9 0.52 9.48 0.48 33.6 127 372 0.25 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 184 First Colonial 2 8 1.50 8.50 0.50 50.5 161 306 0.34 6 AAA 6A Beach 185 Tunstall 4 6 3.48 6.52 0.52 33.6 268 338 0.44 3 AA 3D Piedmont 186 Nelson County 2 8 1.43 8.57 0.57 0.4 202 392 0.34 2 A 2C Dogwood 187 William Monroe 3 7 2.43 7.57 0.57 18.8 216 329 0.40 3 AA 3B Northwestern 188 Orange 4 6 3.43 6.57 0.57 61.4 345 439 0.44 5 AAA 5D Jefferson 189 Lancaster 2 7 1.39 7.61 0.61 -5.2 165 310 0.35 1 A 1A Northern Neck 190 Cumberland 1 10 0.38 10.62 0.62 -7.4 156 537 0.23 1 A 1B James River 191 Colgan 4 6 3.37 6.63 0.63 61.0 323 415 0.44 6 AAA 6C Eastern 192 Lakeland 4 7 3.36 7.64 0.64 59.6 194 263 0.42 3 AA 3A Southeastern 193 Forest Park 4 6 3.34 6.66 0.66 60.9 217 280 0.44 6 AAA 6C Eastern 194 Annandale 4 7 3.34 7.66 0.66 50.0 280 381 0.42 6 AAA 6C District 3 195 Kellam 5 5 4.33 5.67 0.67 65.7 274 303 0.47 6 AAA 6A Beach 196 Parry McCluer 7 5 6.30 5.70 0.70 23.8 300 289 0.51 1 A 1C Pioneer 197 McLean 1 8 0.28 8.72 0.72 23.1 96 345 0.22 6 AAA 6D District 2 198 Osbourn 1 9 0.23 9.77 0.77 48.4 96 382 0.20 6 AAA 6D Western 199 Petersburg 4 7 3.21 7.79 0.79 50.2 208 289 0.42 3 AA 3A Central 200 Franklin County 3 8 2.21 8.79 0.79 42.8 272 454 0.37 6 AAA 6B Piedmont 201 Gar-Field 1 9 0.17 9.83 0.83 35.5 98 440 0.18 6 AAA 6C Eastern 202 Bassett 2 8 1.10 8.90 0.90 29.6 186 403 0.32 4 AA 4D Piedmont 203 Tazewell 3 7 2.08 7.92 0.92 32.3 170 279 0.38 2 A 2D Southwest 204 Prince Edward 4 6 3.08 6.92 0.92 18.6 320 432 0.43 2 A 2A James River 205 Thomas Jefferson(A) 1 8 0.06 8.94 0.94 2.9 39 243 0.14 5 AAA 5C District 5 206 Mathews 1 7 0.06 7.94 0.94 -18.3 57 348 0.14 1 A 1A Tidewater 207 Patrick County 1 9 0.03 9.97 0.97 15.0 51 443 0.10 3 AA 3D Piedmont 208 Churchland 2 8 1.02 8.98 0.98 36.4 112 251 0.31 4 AA 4A Eastern 209 Windsor 1 9 0.01 9.99 0.99 -6.8 38 512 0.07 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 210 Hayfield 8 3 7.01 3.99 0.99 73.4 431 350 0.55 6 AAA 6C District 3 211 Great Bridge 1 9 0.00 10.00 1.00 41.1 26 499 0.05 4 AA 4A Southeastern 212 Denbigh 1 9 0.00 10.00 1.00 32.6 17 443 0.04 4 AA 4A Peninsula 213 Brunswick 4 5 3.00 6.00 1.00 28.1 218 282 0.44 2 A 2A Tri-Rivers 214 Skyline 5 6 3.96 7.04 1.04 35.8 257 318 0.45 3 AA 3B Northwestern 215 Randolph-Henry 2 8 0.96 9.04 1.04 9.5 182 418 0.30 2 A 2A James River 216 Patrick Henry(A) 5 5 3.96 6.04 1.04 68.3 259 303 0.46 4 AAA 4B Capital 217 Hidden Valley 3 7 1.95 8.05 1.05 45.5 229 387 0.37 3 AA 3D River Ridge 218 Madison County 2 8 0.94 9.06 1.06 15.0 183 424 0.30 2 A 2B Bull Run 219 Turner Ashby 3 8 1.93 9.07 1.07 38.6 244 433 0.36 3 AA 3C Valley 220 Holston 2 8 0.92 9.08 1.08 -2.7 180 421 0.30 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 221 Powhatan 4 6 2.87 7.13 1.13 48.9 229 321 0.42 4 AA 4B Jefferson 222 Liberty(Bed) 2 8 0.85 9.15 1.15 48.0 185 446 0.29 3 AA 3C Seminole 223 Chatham 3 7 1.77 8.23 1.23 27.7 257 454 0.36 2 A 2C Dogwood 224 King William 6 5 4.77 6.23 1.23 20.3 307 339 0.48 2 A 2A Tidewater 225 James Monroe 8 6 6.75 7.25 1.25 64.4 375 385 0.49 3 AA 3B Battlefield 226 Bethel 4 7 2.72 8.28 1.28 47.4 155 234 0.40 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 227 Loudoun Valley 5 6 3.71 7.29 1.29 53.0 208 267 0.44 4 AA 4C Dulles 228 Strasburg 6 6 4.71 7.29 1.29 30.1 290 341 0.46 2 A 2B Bull Run 229 Jefferson Forest 7 5 5.70 6.30 1.30 77.2 427 443 0.49 4 AA 4D Seminole 230 Midlothian 4 7 2.69 8.31 1.31 53.1 226 343 0.40 4 AA 4B Dominion 231 Prince George 4 6 2.69 7.31 1.31 54.2 216 313 0.41 5 AAA 5B Central 232 James River(C) 6 5 4.68 6.32 1.32 61.6 288 322 0.47 6 AAA 6B Dominion 233 Frank Cox 7 4 5.68 5.32 1.32 75.6 342 334 0.51 6 AAA 6A Beach 234 Osbourn Park 2 8 0.67 9.33 1.33 47.8 147 389 0.27 6 AAA 6D Western 235 Mountain View 5 6 3.61 7.39 1.39 76.8 187 244 0.43 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 236 James River(B) 3 7 1.59 8.41 1.41 30.6 207 384 0.35 2 A 2C Pioneer 237 Western Branch 5 5 3.57 6.43 1.43 69.3 221 275 0.45 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 238 Cave Spring 3 8 1.56 9.44 1.44 42.8 203 395 0.34 3 AA 3D River Ridge 239 William Fleming 2 8 0.56 9.44 1.44 46.6 165 469 0.26 5 AA 5D Blue Ridge 240 Spotsylvania 3 7 1.53 8.47 1.47 43.1 198 373 0.35 3 AA 3B Battlefield 241 Carroll County 2 8 0.53 9.47 1.47 21.8 124 362 0.26 4 AA 4D River Ridge 242 J.I. Burton 7 6 5.48 7.52 1.52 32.7 314 353 0.47 1 A 1D Cumberland 243 Dan River 6 5 4.46 6.54 1.54 49.7 256 295 0.46 2 A 2C Dogwood 244 Fairfax 4 6 2.45 7.55 1.55 45.9 182 276 0.40 6 AAA 6C District 4 245 Woodrow Wilson 2 8 0.43 9.57 1.57 35.5 79 250 0.24 4 AA 4A Eastern 246 Northwood 4 6 2.40 7.60 1.60 6.8 287 440 0.39 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 247 Franklin 4 7 2.39 8.61 1.61 19.8 249 400 0.38 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 248 Fauquier 3 7 1.39 8.61 1.61 46.8 190 373 0.34 4 AA 4C Northwestern 249 Culpeper County 5 7 3.36 8.64 1.64 46.3 279 396 0.41 3 AA 3B Northwestern 250 Lake Taylor 9 3 7.35 4.65 1.65 77.2 327 276 0.54 4 AA 4A Eastern 251 Fluvanna 2 8 0.33 9.67 1.67 30.1 120 419 0.22 3 AA 3C Jefferson 252 Chantilly 2 9 0.33 10.67 1.67 47.1 117 424 0.22 6 AAA 6D District 1 253 Massaponax 7 4 5.33 5.67 1.67 75.3 258 264 0.49 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 254 Albemarle 5 6 3.33 7.67 1.67 64.1 265 361 0.42 5 AAA 5D Jefferson 255 James Wood 3 7 1.30 8.70 1.70 39.9 168 340 0.33 4 AA 4C Northwestern 256 Thomas Edison 3 7 1.30 8.70 1.70 34.0 206 417 0.33 5 AAA 5C District 5 257 Matoaca 4 6 2.29 7.71 1.71 64.5 196 307 0.39 5 AAA 5B Central 258 Brentsville 4 7 2.26 8.74 1.74 39.6 171 282 0.38 3 AA 3B Northwestern 259 Bruton 2 9 0.26 10.74 1.74 30.3 126 499 0.20 2 A 2A Bay Rivers 260 Hurley 7 4 5.24 5.76 1.76 22.6 196 203 0.49 1 A 1D Black Diamond 261 Meadowbrook 4 7 2.22 8.78 1.78 69.6 167 278 0.38 5 AAA 5B Central 262 Tabb 4 6 2.21 7.79 1.79 46.6 165 263 0.39 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 263 Bath County 2 8 0.20 9.80 1.80 1.5 59 249 0.19 1 A 1C Pioneer 264 Hickory 2 8 0.19 9.81 1.81 49.0 77 333 0.19 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 265 Langley 3 7 1.13 8.87 1.87 38.5 176 377 0.32 6 AAA 6D District 2 266 Briar Woods 3 7 1.12 8.88 1.88 61.8 149 321 0.32 5 AAA 5C Potomac 267 Mills Godwin 6 5 4.10 6.90 1.90 62.9 151 183 0.45 5 AAA 5B Colonial 268 Brookville 9 3 7.09 4.91 1.91 77.4 415 362 0.53 3 AA 3C Seminole 269 Honaker 5 6 3.09 7.91 1.91 16.9 250 354 0.41 1 A 1D Black Diamond 270 Menchville 2 8 0.07 9.93 1.93 36.3 62 381 0.14 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 271 Washington-Lee 3 7 1.06 8.94 1.94 39.6 182 401 0.31 6 AAA 6D District 2 272 Wise Central 3 7 1.06 8.94 1.94 38.2 161 355 0.31 2 A 2D Mountain 273 Washington & Lee 8 4 6.05 5.95 1.95 25.3 340 338 0.50 1 A 1A Northern Neck 274 Atlee 4 6 2.04 7.96 1.96 63.7 213 353 0.38 5 AAA 5B Capital 275 Rural Retreat 3 8 1.03 9.97 1.97 16.5 196 455 0.30 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 276 Handley 4 6 2.00 8.00 2.00 42.5 185 309 0.37 4 AA 4C Northwestern 277 Rock Ridge 3 7 0.96 9.04 2.04 43.0 184 422 0.30 5 AA 5C Potomac 278 Armstrong 3 8 0.90 10.10 2.10 41.6 202 495 0.29 3 AA 3B Capital 279 Charles City 3 7 0.89 9.11 2.11 -6.0 132 312 0.30 1 A 1A Tidewater 280 Grassfield 4 6 1.86 8.14 2.14 67.8 166 287 0.37 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 281 Cosby(C) 3 8 0.78 10.22 2.22 47.2 138 357 0.28 6 AAA 6B Dominion 282 Alleghany 4 7 1.77 9.23 2.23 35.9 173 319 0.35 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 283 Broadway 3 7 0.66 9.34 2.34 25.0 148 394 0.27 3 AA 3C Valley 284 Falls Church 6 5 3.66 7.34 2.34 46.4 218 282 0.44 5 AAA 5C District 5 285 Colonial Heights 3 7 0.65 9.35 2.35 46.8 149 401 0.27 3 AA 3A Central 286 Twin Valley 4 6 1.61 8.39 2.39 -6.6 161 297 0.35 1 A 1D Black Diamond 287 Hanover 4 7 1.60 9.40 2.40 62.7 187 360 0.34 4 AA 4B Capital 288 Kecoughtan 5 6 2.35 8.65 2.65 47.2 161 261 0.38 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 289 Stonewall Jackson(M) 3 7 0.33 9.67 2.67 55.4 86 302 0.22 6 AAA 6D Western 290 Patrick Henry(R) 6 5 3.29 7.71 2.71 67.6 291 399 0.42 5 AAA 5D River Ridge 291 Lebanon 3 7 0.27 9.73 2.73 24.0 107 406 0.21 2 A 2D Southwest 292 Gate City 3 8 0.25 10.75 2.75 36.2 79 318 0.20 2 A 2D Mountain 293 Norview 6 5 3.21 7.79 2.79 67.4 103 143 0.42 5 AAA 5A Eastern 294 Wakefield 4 7 1.19 9.81 2.81 42.3 155 338 0.31 5 AAA 5C District 5 295 Rustburg 4 7 1.18 9.82 2.82 55.9 180 395 0.31 3 AA 3C Seminole 296 Twin Springs 3 8 0.14 10.86 2.86 -6.7 75 379 0.17 1 A 1D Cumberland 297 Potomac 4 7 1.13 9.87 2.87 61.1 177 395 0.31 5 AAA 5D Eastern 298 Grafton 3 7 0.11 9.89 2.89 40.4 78 407 0.16 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 299 Northside 6 6 3.01 8.99 2.99 69.0 264 396 0.40 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 300 Chancellor 4 7 1.01 9.99 2.99 64.8 168 393 0.30 4 AA 4B Battlefield 301 Bland(RG) 4 7 0.99 10.01 3.01 17.6 213 502 0.30 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 302 Auburn 5 6 1.92 9.08 3.08 22.7 185 329 0.36 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 303 Surry 4 6 0.84 9.16 3.16 6.0 166 403 0.29 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 304 King George 4 7 0.69 10.31 3.31 58.9 124 337 0.27 4 AA 4B Battlefield 305 Wilson Memorial 5 6 1.50 9.50 3.50 31.0 198 392 0.34 2 A 2B Shenandoah 306 Altavista 6 7 1.60 11.40 4.40 34.2 222 460 0.33 1 A 1B Dogwood