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VHSL Football - 2018 Pythagorean Expectations

A Pythagorean (expectation) projection is an approximation of each team’s wins based solely on points scored and allowed. The concept was first used by Bill James, an influential baseball writer and statistician, who found that a team’s record was very closely correlated by taking the square of the team’s runs scored and dividing it by the square of the team’s runs plus the square of the team’s runs allowed.

Statistician Daryl Morey of STATS, Inc., later adapted this formula for professional football using 2.37 and I further found that the exponent 2.7 works better for VHSL football.
I applied this formula to each team and found out which teams are out performing their projected winning percentage and which ones were under performing.

The key is as follows: W = Actual wins L = Actual losses  PFALL = Points for  PAALL = Points against  Projected W = Projected Wins  Projected L = Projected Losses
Win Difference is computed by calculating the number of wins the formula computed (Projected W) and subtracting that from the number of actual wins (Actual W).
A positive number means the team had more wins that the formula expected, a negative numbers means less wins than expected.

 # Team ACT W ACT L Proj W Proj L ACT vs Proj Diff State Rating PF PA %PTS Div Group Region District 1 Battlefield 5 4 7.83 1.17 -2.83 55.3 247 122 0.67 6 AAA 6D Western 2 Kings Fork 5 4 7.59 1.41 -2.59 67.5 226 121 0.65 4 AA 4A Southeastern 3 Heritage(Le) 4 4 6.51 1.49 -2.51 48.0 204 118 0.63 4 AA 4C Dulles 4 Woodbridge 6 3 8.20 0.80 -2.20 73.1 275 116 0.70 6 AAA 6C Eastern 5 Washington & Lee 2 4 4.20 1.80 -2.20 10.8 149 109 0.58 1 A 1A Northern Neck 6 Landstown 6 3 8.00 1.00 -2.00 74.1 171 79 0.68 6 AAA 6A Beach 7 Gretna 7 2 8.97 0.03 -1.97 62.1 414 51 0.89 2 A 2C Dogwood 8 South County 5 4 6.94 2.06 -1.94 78.4 210 134 0.61 6 AAA 6C District 4 9 Poquoson 7 2 8.92 0.08 -1.92 57.0 328 58 0.85 2 AA 2A Bay Rivers 10 James Robinson 5 4 6.87 2.13 -1.87 78.3 261 169 0.61 6 AAA 6C District 4 11 Colonial Beach 4 4 5.85 2.15 -1.85 32.5 219 151 0.59 1 A 1A Northern Neck 12 Salem 6 3 7.75 1.25 -1.75 73.5 311 158 0.66 4 AA 4D River Ridge 13 West Point 6 2 7.75 0.25 -1.75 31.0 312 87 0.78 1 A 1A Tidewater 14 GW-Danville 7 2 8.71 0.29 -1.71 58.2 379 108 0.78 4 AA 4D Piedmont 15 Warren County 0 9 1.69 7.31 -1.69 16.8 133 229 0.37 3 AA 3B Northwestern 16 Brookville 6 3 7.64 1.36 -1.64 73.5 271 143 0.65 3 AA 3C Seminole 17 Southampton 3 4 4.62 2.38 -1.62 23.9 207 162 0.56 3 AA 3A Tri-Rivers 18 Halifax County 5 3 6.62 1.38 -1.62 57.9 232 130 0.64 5 AAA 5D Piedmont 19 Eastside 3 6 4.50 4.50 -1.50 14.5 310 310 0.50 1 A 1D Cumberland 20 Essex 5 3 6.46 1.54 -1.46 47.6 226 133 0.63 1 A 1A Northern Neck 21 Strasburg 7 2 8.45 0.55 -1.45 43.6 305 111 0.73 2 A 2B Bull Run 22 Hampton 3 5 4.43 3.57 -1.43 45.3 103 95 0.52 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 23 Auburn 5 4 6.43 2.57 -1.43 25.6 254 181 0.58 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 24 First Colonial 2 7 3.41 5.59 -1.41 51.8 129 155 0.45 6 AAA 6A Beach 25 Tuscarora 6 3 7.37 1.63 -1.37 73.8 264 151 0.64 5 AAA 5C Potomac 26 John Marshall 3 5 4.33 3.67 -1.33 42.0 184 173 0.52 3 AA 3B Colonial 27 Pulaski County 7 2 8.32 0.68 -1.32 75.8 369 146 0.72 4 AA 4D River Ridge 28 South Lakes 7 2 8.30 0.70 -1.30 70.1 288 115 0.71 6 AAA 6D District 2 29 Norcom 5 4 6.20 2.80 -1.20 69.8 204 152 0.57 3 AA 3A Eastern 30 Tallwood 5 4 6.16 2.84 -1.16 74.1 216 162 0.57 6 AAA 6A Beach 31 Buckingham County 4 4 5.16 2.84 -1.16 37.6 146 117 0.56 2 A 2C James River 32 John Champe 5 4 6.14 2.86 -1.14 76.1 195 147 0.57 5 AA 5C Potomac 33 Floyd County 1 8 2.09 6.91 -1.09 22.0 147 229 0.39 2 A 2C Three Rivers 34 Holston 6 3 7.09 1.91 -1.09 24.4 268 165 0.62 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 35 Lord Botetourt 6 2 7.08 0.92 -1.08 84.0 305 143 0.68 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 36 Warhill 5 3 6.05 1.95 -1.05 56.0 216 142 0.60 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 37 Salem(VB) 7 2 8.05 0.95 -1.05 82.0 194 88 0.69 5 AAA 5A Beach 38 Nansemond River 4 3 5.03 1.97 -1.03 78.0 160 113 0.59 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 39 Page 4 5 5.03 3.97 -1.03 33.2 216 198 0.52 2 A 2B Shenandoah 40 J.R. Tucker 0 8 1.02 6.98 -1.02 15.6 127 259 0.33 5 AAA 5B Colonial 41 Woodgrove 6 2 7.01 0.99 -1.01 83.5 250 121 0.67 4 AA 4C Dulles 42 Charlottesville 0 9 1.01 7.99 -1.01 26.7 159 342 0.32 4 AA 4D Jefferson 43 Galax 7 2 8.01 0.99 -1.01 71.6 334 154 0.68 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 44 Clarke County 6 3 7.00 2.00 -1.00 44.9 304 191 0.61 2 A 2B Bull Run 45 Honaker 5 4 5.98 3.02 -0.98 21.3 269 209 0.56 1 A 1D Black Diamond 46 Woodside 8 2 8.97 1.03 -0.97 72.1 276 124 0.69 6 AAA 6A Peninsula 47 Greensville 5 4 5.96 3.04 -0.96 29.6 254 198 0.56 2 A 2A Tri-Rivers 48 Huguenot 4 4 4.94 3.06 -0.94 57.2 184 154 0.54 4 AA 4B Dominion 49 Matoaca 3 6 3.91 5.09 -0.91 57.2 215 237 0.48 5 AAA 5B Central 50 Tazewell 2 7 2.91 6.09 -0.91 20.6 248 326 0.43 2 A 2D Southwest 51 Harrisonburg 5 3 5.90 2.10 -0.90 51.3 299 204 0.59 5 AA 5D Valley 52 Varina 8 1 8.86 0.14 -0.86 83.2 446 96 0.82 5 AAA 5B Capital 53 Phoebus 7 1 7.84 0.16 -0.84 80.5 290 68 0.81 3 AA 3A Peninsula 54 King William 7 1 7.84 0.16 -0.84 54.1 309 73 0.81 2 A 2A Tidewater 55 James Madison 7 2 7.83 1.17 -0.83 81.4 295 146 0.67 6 AAA 6D District 1 56 Oscar Smith 8 1 8.82 0.18 -0.82 87.9 349 82 0.81 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 57 Centreville 8 1 8.82 0.18 -0.82 94.3 327 78 0.81 6 AAA 6D District 1 58 Franklin County 4 4 4.80 3.20 -0.80 67.3 158 136 0.54 6 AAA 6B Piedmont 59 Powhatan 5 3 5.78 2.22 -0.78 61.0 174 122 0.59 4 AA 4B Jefferson 60 Stone Bridge 7 1 7.78 0.22 -0.78 90.4 358 96 0.79 5 AAA 5C Potomac 61 R.E. Lee(S) 1 7 1.77 6.23 -0.77 30.5 182 290 0.39 5 AAA 5C District 5 62 Central(W) 7 1 7.77 0.23 -0.77 60.8 287 78 0.79 2 A 2B Bull Run 63 Menchville 0 8 0.76 7.24 -0.76 21.8 87 201 0.30 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 64 Ridgeview 8 1 8.75 0.25 -0.75 68.9 362 97 0.79 2 A 2D Mountain 65 Riverheads 8 1 8.72 0.28 -0.72 69.6 403 113 0.78 1 A 1B Shenandoah 66 Deep Run 5 4 5.72 3.28 -0.72 61.3 248 202 0.55 5 AAA 5B Colonial 67 Sherando 8 1 8.71 0.29 -0.71 82.0 436 123 0.78 4 AA 4C Northwestern 68 Massaponax 8 1 8.71 0.29 -0.71 98.3 303 86 0.78 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 69 Covington 5 3 5.70 2.30 -0.70 36.6 228 163 0.58 1 A 1C Pioneer 70 William Byrd 7 1 7.68 0.32 -0.68 63.0 312 96 0.76 4 AA 4D Blue Ridge 71 Thomas Walker 6 2 6.68 1.32 -0.68 10.2 237 130 0.65 1 A 1D Cumberland 72 W.T. Woodson 8 1 8.66 0.34 -0.66 87.8 286 86 0.77 6 AAA 6C District 4 73 York 6 2 6.66 1.34 -0.66 61.8 228 126 0.64 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 74 Loudoun County 7 1 7.66 0.34 -0.66 71.6 278 88 0.76 4 AA 4C Dulles 75 E.C. Glass 8 1 8.65 0.35 -0.65 86.7 366 111 0.77 4 AA 4D Seminole 76 Maury 8 1 8.64 0.36 -0.64 88.5 349 107 0.77 5 AAA 5A Eastern 77 Frank Cox 7 2 7.62 1.38 -0.62 80.1 279 148 0.65 6 AAA 6A Beach 78 Parry McCluer 5 4 5.61 3.39 -0.61 44.0 287 238 0.55 1 A 1C Pioneer 79 New Kent 4 3 4.59 2.41 -0.59 56.1 155 122 0.56 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 80 Fauquier 0 9 0.59 8.41 -0.59 31.2 114 306 0.27 4 AA 4C Northwestern 81 William Campbell 5 4 5.57 3.43 -0.57 43.5 267 223 0.54 1 A 1B Dogwood 82 T.C. Williams 4 5 4.57 4.43 -0.57 59.2 271 268 0.50 6 AAA 6C District 3 83 Hopewell 7 1 7.56 0.44 -0.56 84.5 264 92 0.74 3 AA 3A Central 84 Rappahannock 7 1 7.55 0.45 -0.55 30.0 282 99 0.74 1 A 1A Northern Neck 85 Yorktown 5 4 5.55 3.45 -0.55 61.5 223 187 0.54 6 AAA 6D District 2 86 North Stafford 7 1 7.55 0.45 -0.55 93.6 338 119 0.74 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 87 Graham 8 1 8.55 0.45 -0.55 75.7 356 120 0.75 2 A 2D Southwest 88 Patriot 6 3 6.54 2.46 -0.54 80.6 270 188 0.59 6 AAA 6D Western 89 Spotswood 7 1 7.50 0.50 -0.50 64.0 292 107 0.73 3 AA 3C Valley 90 Spotsylvania 6 3 6.50 2.50 -0.50 53.3 265 186 0.59 3 AA 3B Battlefield 91 Mount Vernon 7 2 7.49 1.51 -0.49 65.5 369 204 0.64 6 AAA 6C District 3 92 Lake Braddock 7 2 7.48 1.52 -0.48 88.0 319 177 0.64 6 AAA 6C District 4 93 Freedom 8 1 8.46 0.54 -0.46 88.1 382 138 0.73 6 AAA 6C Eastern 94 Mountain View 6 3 6.45 2.55 -0.45 83.0 237 168 0.59 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 95 Douglas Freeman 7 3 7.43 2.57 -0.43 73.4 283 191 0.60 5 AAA 5B Colonial 96 George Wythe(R) 0 9 0.43 8.57 -0.43 29.4 124 376 0.25 3 AA 3B Dominion 97 Appomattox 7 1 7.42 0.58 -0.42 73.4 294 114 0.72 2 A 2C Dogwood 98 Narrows 8 1 8.42 0.58 -0.42 36.8 305 113 0.73 1 A 1C Pioneer 99 Kettle Run 7 1 7.42 0.58 -0.42 74.7 265 103 0.72 4 AA 4C Northwestern 100 Stonewall Jackson(M) 5 5 5.42 4.58 -0.42 70.5 217 204 0.52 6 AAA 6D Western 101 Dinwiddie 8 1 8.41 0.59 -0.41 84.3 412 154 0.73 4 AA 4B Central 102 Herndon 4 5 4.41 4.59 -0.41 40.7 196 199 0.50 6 AAA 6D District 2 103 Henrico 7 1 7.40 0.60 -0.40 87.0 352 139 0.72 5 AAA 5B Capital 104 George Wythe(W) 5 3 5.40 2.60 -0.40 47.2 203 155 0.57 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 105 Buffalo Gap 5 4 5.38 3.62 -0.38 49.4 292 252 0.54 2 A 2B Shenandoah 106 Justice / J.E.B. Stuart 7 2 7.38 1.62 -0.38 55.1 296 169 0.64 6 AAA 6C District 5 107 Radford 8 1 8.36 0.64 -0.36 70.0 293 113 0.72 2 A 2C Three Rivers 108 McLean 0 9 0.36 8.64 -0.36 19.3 97 316 0.23 6 AAA 6D District 2 109 Gate City 1 9 1.31 8.69 -0.31 29.9 170 343 0.33 2 A 2D Mountain 110 Warwick 5 4 5.29 3.71 -0.29 52.2 194 170 0.53 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 111 James River(B) 7 2 7.29 1.71 -0.29 54.0 298 174 0.63 2 A 2C Pioneer 112 George Marshall 7 2 7.29 1.71 -0.29 64.0 248 145 0.63 6 AAA 6D District 5 113 Waynesboro 0 10 0.28 9.72 -0.28 13.3 121 452 0.21 3 AA 3C Valley 114 King George 1 8 1.27 7.73 -0.27 40.2 144 281 0.34 4 AA 4B Battlefield 115 Madison County 2 7 2.27 6.73 -0.27 18.2 214 320 0.40 2 A 2B Bull Run 116 Chantilly 3 6 3.26 5.74 -0.26 53.0 198 244 0.45 6 AAA 6D District 1 117 Staunton River 0 9 0.25 8.75 -0.25 23.7 119 446 0.21 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 118 Northumberland 6 1 6.24 0.76 -0.24 48.0 233 107 0.69 1 A 1A Northern Neck 119 Green Run 0 8 0.20 7.80 -0.20 35.5 55 214 0.20 5 AAA 5A Beach 120 King & Queen 0 6 0.19 5.81 -0.19 -33.8 68 242 0.22 1 A 1A Tidewater 121 Union 7 2 7.19 1.81 -0.19 68.0 283 170 0.62 2 A 2D Mountain 122 Broadway 4 5 4.17 4.83 -0.17 43.0 215 227 0.49 3 AA 3C Valley 123 Lee-Davis 1 8 1.15 7.85 -0.15 40.0 205 417 0.33 5 AAA 5B Capital 124 Randolph-Henry 0 8 0.15 7.85 -0.15 2.9 79 343 0.19 2 A 2A James River 125 Washington-Lee 1 7 1.14 6.86 -0.14 23.9 135 262 0.34 6 AAA 6D District 2 126 Courtland 7 2 7.13 1.87 -0.13 76.5 287 175 0.62 4 AA 4B Battlefield 127 Chatham 1 8 1.11 7.89 -0.11 18.4 176 364 0.33 2 A 2C Dogwood 128 Western Branch 0 8 0.11 7.89 -0.11 35.5 56 276 0.17 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 129 Granby 0 9 0.10 8.90 -0.10 34.6 64 332 0.16 6 AAA 6A Eastern 130 Denbigh 0 8 0.10 7.90 -0.10 27.1 72 358 0.17 4 AA 4A Peninsula 131 Alleghany 0 8 0.10 7.90 -0.10 18.3 61 308 0.17 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 132 Amherst County 1 8 1.08 7.92 -0.08 47.1 169 353 0.32 4 AA 4D Seminole 133 Meadowbrook 0 9 0.07 8.93 -0.07 37.0 57 339 0.14 5 AAA 5B Central 134 Falls Church 5 4 5.07 3.93 -0.07 64.2 289 263 0.52 5 AAA 5C District 5 135 Cumberland 0 7 0.06 6.94 -0.06 4.6 64 363 0.15 1 A 1B James River 136 Kempsville 0 7 0.06 6.94 -0.06 42.3 51 298 0.15 5 AAA 5A Beach 137 J.I. Burton 7 2 7.05 1.95 -0.05 41.8 325 202 0.62 1 A 1D Cumberland 138 Osbourn 0 9 0.04 8.96 -0.04 36.7 54 395 0.12 6 AAA 6D Western 139 Petersburg 6 3 6.04 2.96 -0.04 68.3 280 215 0.57 3 AA 3A Central 140 Freedom(R) 0 8 0.02 7.98 -0.02 26.4 38 345 0.10 5 AAA 5C Potomac 141 Grafton 0 8 0.02 7.98 -0.02 16.9 27 266 0.09 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 142 Stonewall Jackson(Q) 0 10 0.01 9.99 -0.01 17.3 40 522 0.07 1 A 1B Shenandoah 143 Oakton 0 9 0.01 8.99 -0.01 39.1 28 444 0.06 6 AAA 6D District 1 144 Lancaster 2 4 2.00 4.00 -0.00 -8.5 154 199 0.44 1 A 1A Northern Neck 145 Bruton 0 4 0.00 4.00 -0.00 18.2 6 206 0.03 2 A 2A Bay Rivers 146 Highland Springs 9 0 9.00 0.00 0.00 101.0 469 27 0.95 5 AAA 5B Capital 147 Manchester 9 0 8.99 0.01 0.01 102.0 539 46 0.92 6 AAA 6B Dominion 148 Broad Run 9 0 8.98 0.02 0.02 94.0 314 30 0.91 5 AAA 5C Potomac 149 Lafayette 7 0 6.97 0.03 0.03 88.0 309 42 0.88 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 150 Goochland 9 0 8.97 0.03 0.03 59.0 340 43 0.89 2 A 2A James River 151 Abingdon 7 2 6.96 2.04 0.04 69.0 274 174 0.61 3 AA 3D Mountain 152 Chilhowie 9 0 8.94 0.06 0.06 59.6 410 66 0.86 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 153 Indian River 9 0 8.93 0.07 0.07 99.8 408 66 0.86 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 154 Rockbridge County 5 4 4.93 4.07 0.07 47.2 305 284 0.52 3 AA 3C Valley 155 Clover Hill 4 5 3.92 5.08 0.08 57.2 149 164 0.48 6 AAA 6B Dominion 156 Eastern View 9 0 8.92 0.08 0.08 84.0 470 82 0.85 4 AA 4B Battlefield 157 George Mason 2 6 1.92 6.08 0.08 19.0 137 210 0.39 2 A 2B Bull Run 158 Lake Taylor 8 1 7.91 1.09 0.09 89.3 408 196 0.68 4 AA 4A Eastern 159 Monticello 2 7 1.91 7.09 0.09 34.0 177 288 0.38 3 AA 3C Jefferson 160 Manassas Park 1 0 0.90 0.10 0.10 31.0 27 12 0.69 3 AA 3B Northwestern 161 Fluvanna 6 3 5.89 3.11 0.11 50.9 209 165 0.56 3 AA 3C Jefferson 162 Ocean Lakes 10 0 9.88 0.12 0.12 95.4 357 69 0.84 6 AAA 6A Beach 163 Norview 3 6 2.88 6.12 0.12 61.1 227 300 0.43 5 AAA 5A Eastern 164 Northside 8 1 7.88 1.12 0.12 87.1 338 164 0.67 3 AA 3D Blue Ridge 165 Orange 2 7 1.88 7.12 0.12 33.5 163 267 0.38 5 AAA 5D Jefferson 166 Langley 2 7 1.87 7.13 0.13 40.6 165 271 0.38 6 AAA 6D District 2 167 Twin Valley 4 5 3.86 5.14 0.14 -14.9 276 307 0.47 1 A 1D Black Diamond 168 Liberty(Bed) 5 4 4.86 4.14 0.14 73.5 246 232 0.51 3 AA 3C Seminole 169 Thomas Dale 7 2 6.85 2.15 0.15 78.0 278 181 0.61 6 AAA 6B Central 170 Colonial Forge 9 0 8.85 0.15 0.15 109.3 343 76 0.82 6 AAA 6B Commonwealth 171 Armstrong 1 7 0.83 7.17 0.17 40.7 127 282 0.31 3 AA 3B Capital 172 East Rockingham 9 0 8.82 0.18 0.18 77.0 394 93 0.81 2 A 2B Shenandoah 173 Fort Chiswell 3 5 2.81 5.19 0.19 33.9 149 187 0.44 2 A 2C Mtn. Empire 174 Westfield 9 0 8.81 0.19 0.19 107.2 338 82 0.80 6 AAA 6D District 1 175 Marion 4 5 3.80 5.20 0.20 35.4 227 255 0.47 2 A 2D Southwest 176 Cave Spring 2 7 1.80 7.20 0.20 41.1 162 271 0.37 3 AA 3D River Ridge 177 Craig County 2 6 1.78 6.22 0.22 -14.2 170 270 0.39 1 A 1C Pioneer 178 Forest Park 1 7 0.75 7.25 0.25 44.0 104 241 0.30 6 AAA 6C Eastern 179 John Battle 5 4 4.74 4.26 0.26 43.2 183 176 0.51 2 A 2D Mountain 180 R.E. Lee(ST) 5 4 4.73 4.27 0.27 49.4 318 306 0.51 2 A 2B Shenandoah 181 Franklin 8 1 7.72 1.28 0.28 51.3 300 154 0.66 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 182 Prince Edward 3 5 2.72 5.28 0.28 24.0 215 275 0.44 2 A 2A James River 183 Glen Allen 6 2 5.72 2.28 0.28 63.9 257 183 0.58 5 AAA 5B Colonial 184 Rustburg 3 6 2.71 6.29 0.29 57.4 191 261 0.42 3 AA 3C Seminole 185 Luray 7 2 6.71 2.29 0.29 49.4 320 215 0.60 2 A 2B Shenandoah 186 Colgan 4 5 3.71 5.29 0.29 48.3 163 186 0.47 6 AAA 6C Eastern 187 Richlands 5 4 4.71 4.29 0.29 63.1 240 232 0.51 2 AA 2D Southwest 188 Liberty(Beal) 4 5 3.70 5.30 0.30 53.3 212 242 0.47 4 AA 4C Northwestern 189 Millbrook 6 2 5.68 2.32 0.32 68.2 311 223 0.58 4 AA 4C Northwestern 190 Grayson County 6 1 5.68 1.32 0.32 59.9 153 89 0.63 2 A 2D Mtn. Empire 191 Amelia County 8 0 7.68 0.32 0.32 59.4 368 113 0.77 2 A 2A James River 192 Booker T. Washington 6 3 5.68 3.32 0.32 71.9 249 204 0.55 3 AA 3A Eastern 193 Jefferson Forest 7 2 6.68 2.32 0.32 73.5 444 300 0.60 4 AA 4D Seminole 194 James River(C) 2 7 1.68 7.32 0.32 47.7 200 345 0.37 6 AAA 6B Dominion 195 Magna Vista 4 5 3.67 5.33 0.33 57.9 162 186 0.47 3 AA 3D Piedmont 196 Lunenburg 4 4 3.65 4.35 0.35 37.6 193 206 0.48 1 A 1B James River 197 Rock Ridge 1 8 0.65 8.35 0.35 40.0 130 335 0.28 5 AA 5C Potomac 198 Grundy 6 3 5.64 3.36 0.36 40.3 252 208 0.55 1 A 1D Black Diamond 199 Lee 2 7 1.64 7.36 0.36 27.3 157 274 0.36 2 A 2D Shenandoah 200 Lebanon 1 8 0.63 8.37 0.37 13.9 135 353 0.28 2 A 2D Southwest 201 Patrick Henry(GS) 8 1 7.61 1.39 0.39 45.0 370 197 0.65 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 202 Briar Woods 3 7 2.61 7.39 0.39 54.4 183 269 0.40 5 AAA 5C Potomac 203 Glenvar 9 0 8.61 0.39 0.39 76.0 302 96 0.76 2 A 2C Three Rivers 204 Turner Ashby 2 6 1.61 6.39 0.39 33.5 186 310 0.38 3 AA 3C Valley 205 Monacan 7 2 6.60 2.40 0.40 78.3 262 180 0.59 4 AA 4B Dominion 206 Twin Springs 1 8 0.59 8.41 0.41 -14.9 133 356 0.27 1 A 1D Cumberland 207 Arcadia 5 4 4.58 4.42 0.42 29.8 308 304 0.50 2 A 2A Eastern Shore-A 208 Dan River 4 5 3.57 5.43 0.43 42.5 203 237 0.46 2 A 2C Dogwood 209 Potomac 2 7 1.56 7.44 0.44 55.9 166 296 0.36 5 AAA 5D Eastern 210 Park View(SH) 4 3 3.53 3.47 0.47 51.3 178 177 0.50 3 AA 3A Tri-Rivers 211 Thomas Jefferson(A) 1 6 0.52 6.48 0.48 2.3 85 216 0.28 5 AAA 5C District 5 212 Great Bridge 1 7 0.51 7.49 0.49 47.0 101 273 0.27 4 AA 4A Southeastern 213 Nelson County 1 7 0.51 7.49 0.49 -3.7 112 303 0.27 2 A 2C Dogwood 214 Heritage(NN) 5 4 4.50 4.50 0.50 54.5 172 172 0.50 4 AA 4A Peninsula 215 Louisa 9 0 8.50 0.50 0.50 86.6 348 122 0.74 4 AA 4B Jefferson 216 C.D. Hylton 6 3 5.50 3.50 0.50 77.0 195 165 0.54 6 AAA 6C Eastern 217 Hayfield 8 1 7.49 1.51 0.51 78.4 329 182 0.64 6 AAA 6C District 3 218 Nottoway 4 4 3.45 4.55 0.55 32.7 166 184 0.47 2 A 2A James River 219 Northwood 1 8 0.44 8.56 0.56 -14.9 137 411 0.25 1 A 1D Hogoheegee 220 Prince George 4 5 3.42 5.58 0.58 53.1 202 242 0.45 5 AAA 5B Central 221 Blacksburg 9 0 8.41 0.59 0.59 90.0 308 115 0.73 4 AA 4D River Ridge 222 Sussex Central 2 8 1.41 8.59 0.59 14.4 134 262 0.34 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 223 Thomas Jefferson(R) 5 4 4.40 4.60 0.60 47.6 184 187 0.50 3 AA 3B Colonial 224 Martinsville 1 8 0.40 8.60 0.60 20.9 109 339 0.24 2 A 2C Piedmont 225 Rye Cove 3 6 2.40 6.60 0.60 -10.5 169 246 0.41 1 A 1D Cumberland 226 William Fleming 1 7 0.39 7.61 0.61 37.2 99 298 0.25 5 AA 5D Blue Ridge 227 Heritage(Lyn) 8 1 7.38 1.62 0.62 87.0 323 184 0.64 3 AA 3C Seminole 228 Western Albemarle 7 2 6.37 2.63 0.63 63.1 251 181 0.58 3 AA 3C Jefferson 229 Stuarts Draft 3 6 2.35 6.65 0.65 31.3 175 257 0.41 2 A 2B Shenandoah 230 Surry 2 7 1.35 7.65 0.65 16.2 179 340 0.34 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 231 Riverbend 1 8 0.35 8.65 0.65 49.0 95 313 0.23 6 AAA 6B Commonwealth 232 Caroline 1 8 0.34 8.66 0.66 31.6 119 393 0.23 4 AA 4B Battlefield 233 Lakeland 2 7 1.34 7.66 0.66 48.4 128 244 0.34 3 AA 3A Southeastern 234 Hidden Valley 2 7 1.33 7.67 0.67 52.0 163 312 0.34 3 AA 3D River Ridge 235 Handley 5 5 4.32 5.68 0.68 51.3 198 219 0.47 4 AA 4C Northwestern 236 Christiansburg 2 7 1.30 7.70 0.70 41.1 122 236 0.34 3 AA 3D River Ridge 237 Riverside 8 2 7.29 2.71 0.71 69.0 179 124 0.59 4 AA 4C Dulles 238 Loudoun Valley 1 7 0.29 7.71 0.71 44.5 83 279 0.23 4 AA 4C Dulles 239 Northampton 7 1 6.28 1.72 0.72 20.1 265 164 0.62 1 A 1A Eastern Shore-A 240 Tunstall 6 3 5.24 3.76 0.76 57.9 216 191 0.53 3 AA 3D Piedmont 241 Nandua 3 7 2.24 7.76 0.76 -8.5 256 406 0.39 2 A 2A Eastern Shore-A 242 Churchland 4 5 3.21 5.79 0.79 55.4 172 214 0.45 4 AA 4A Eastern 243 Princess Anne 2 7 1.17 7.83 0.83 49.1 97 196 0.33 5 AAA 5A Beach 244 Wilson Memorial 5 4 4.17 4.83 0.83 42.5 304 321 0.49 2 A 2B Shenandoah 245 Virginia 5 4 4.16 4.84 0.84 53.9 207 219 0.49 2 A 2D Southwest 246 Jamestown 1 7 0.15 7.85 0.85 29.1 70 306 0.19 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 247 Annandale 3 6 2.10 6.90 0.90 48.7 199 309 0.39 6 AAA 6C District 3 248 Hermitage 1 9 0.06 9.94 0.94 40.8 62 419 0.13 5 AAA 5B Colonial 249 Gloucester 2 5 1.05 5.95 0.95 41.2 136 259 0.34 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 250 Skyline 2 7 1.05 7.95 0.95 23.7 116 246 0.32 3 AA 3B Northwestern 251 Mathews 1 6 0.04 6.96 0.96 -10.2 45 298 0.13 1 A 1A Tidewater 252 Bland(RG) 2 6 1.04 6.96 0.96 -2.6 131 265 0.33 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 253 James Monroe 2 7 1.04 7.96 0.96 45.4 150 319 0.32 3 AA 3B Battlefield 254 Mills Godwin 5 4 4.03 4.97 0.97 57.1 112 121 0.48 5 AAA 5B Colonial 255 West Springfield 4 4 2.99 5.01 1.01 61.8 223 270 0.45 6 AAA 6C District 4 256 Gar-Field 3 6 1.98 7.02 1.02 55.9 112 179 0.38 6 AAA 6C Eastern 257 Chancellor 4 6 2.98 7.02 1.02 56.0 281 386 0.42 4 AA 4B Battlefield 258 Bassett 2 7 0.94 8.06 1.06 52.4 105 233 0.31 4 AA 4D Piedmont 259 Fort Defiance 5 4 3.93 5.07 1.07 42.5 142 156 0.48 3 AA 3C Valley 260 Bluestone 2 6 0.89 7.11 1.11 22.5 105 227 0.32 2 A 2A James River 261 Patrick Henry(A) 3 7 1.87 8.13 1.13 49.2 173 298 0.37 4 AAA 4B Capital 262 Smithfield 4 5 2.86 6.14 1.14 56.0 208 276 0.43 4 AA 4A Bay Rivers 263 Rural Retreat 2 7 0.86 8.14 1.14 10.1 123 283 0.30 1 A 1C Mtn. Empire 264 James Wood 4 5 2.82 6.18 1.18 51.3 214 286 0.43 4 AA 4C Northwestern 265 Wakefield 2 7 0.80 8.20 1.20 24.9 142 337 0.30 5 AAA 5C District 5 266 Patrick County 2 7 0.74 8.26 1.26 20.9 104 254 0.29 3 AA 3D Piedmont 267 Windsor 2 7 0.74 8.26 1.26 -8.5 128 313 0.29 1 A 1A Tri-Rivers 268 Tabb 5 4 3.70 5.30 1.30 59.2 162 185 0.47 3 AA 3A Bay Rivers 269 Eastern Montgomery 2 7 0.68 8.32 1.32 0.9 92 233 0.28 1 A 1C Pioneer 270 West Potomac 2 7 0.67 8.33 1.33 54.5 136 345 0.28 6 AAA 6C District 3 271 Carroll County 3 6 1.67 7.33 1.33 34.3 136 235 0.37 4 AA 4D River Ridge 272 L.C. Bird 7 2 5.66 3.34 1.34 78.3 186 153 0.55 5 AAA 5B Dominion 273 Brooke Point 5 4 3.56 5.44 1.44 86.5 153 179 0.46 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 274 Bethel 3 6 1.53 7.47 1.47 43.9 114 205 0.36 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 275 Colonial Heights 2 6 0.53 7.47 1.47 51.5 93 248 0.27 3 AA 3A Central 276 Fairfax 3 6 1.53 7.47 1.47 50.5 126 227 0.36 6 AAA 6C District 4 277 Culpeper County 5 4 3.51 5.49 1.49 53.3 166 196 0.46 3 AA 3B Northwestern 278 Stafford 4 6 2.51 7.49 1.49 68.8 186 279 0.40 5 AAA 5D Commonwealth 279 Hanover 3 6 1.43 7.57 1.57 55.5 165 306 0.35 4 AA 4B Capital 280 Woodrow Wilson 2 7 0.43 8.57 1.57 49.0 108 328 0.25 4 AA 4A Eastern 281 Osbourn Park 2 7 0.38 8.62 1.62 43.6 111 351 0.24 6 AAA 6D Western 282 Middlesex 2 6 0.32 7.68 1.68 -11.7 94 306 0.24 1 A 1A Tidewater 283 Thomas Edison 3 6 1.31 7.69 1.69 36.0 140 270 0.34 5 AAA 5C District 5 284 Wise Central 3 6 1.25 7.75 1.75 40.9 161 316 0.34 2 A 2D Mountain 285 William Monroe 3 6 1.21 7.79 1.79 24.2 103 205 0.33 3 AA 3B Northwestern 286 Kecoughtan 6 3 4.21 4.79 1.79 55.4 165 173 0.49 5 AAA 5A Peninsula 287 Albemarle 4 5 2.14 6.86 1.86 56.0 161 248 0.39 5 AAA 5D Jefferson 288 Kellam 3 5 1.08 6.92 1.92 74.1 104 207 0.33 6 AAA 6A Beach 289 Giles 4 5 2.05 6.95 1.95 52.0 156 245 0.39 2 A 2C Three Rivers 290 Midlothian 6 3 4.05 4.95 1.95 77.0 167 180 0.48 4 AA 4B Dominion 291 Cosby(C) 4 5 2.03 6.97 1.97 57.3 119 188 0.39 6 AAA 6B Dominion 292 Bath County 5 4 3.03 5.97 1.97 17.4 192 247 0.44 1 A 1C Pioneer 293 Dominion 3 6 1.03 7.97 1.97 49.5 109 233 0.32 4 AA 4C Dulles 294 Bayside 6 3 3.97 5.03 2.03 74.1 187 204 0.48 6 AAA 6A Beach 295 Castlewood 3 6 0.95 8.05 2.05 -0.3 98 216 0.31 1 A 1D Cumberland 296 Patrick Henry(R) 4 4 1.92 6.08 2.08 61.8 178 273 0.39 5 AAA 5D River Ridge 297 Grassfield 4 5 1.83 7.17 2.17 65.1 134 222 0.38 6 AAA 6A Southeastern 298 Deep Creek 6 3 3.82 5.18 2.18 76.6 159 178 0.47 4 AA 4A Southeastern 299 Brunswick 3 5 0.81 7.19 2.19 16.1 104 234 0.31 2 A 2A Tri-Rivers 300 Hurley 3 6 0.80 8.20 2.20 -7.2 90 213 0.30 1 A 1D Black Diamond 301 Atlee 6 3 3.67 5.33 2.33 75.4 195 224 0.47 5 AAA 5B Capital 302 Altavista 3 6 0.66 8.34 2.34 38.0 143 366 0.28 1 A 1B Dogwood 303 Hickory 3 6 0.64 8.36 2.36 59.0 102 265 0.28 5 AAA 5A Southeastern 304 Brentsville 5 5 1.68 8.32 3.32 47.2 114 206 0.36 3 AA 3B Northwestern