At the start of the season there are 186 playoff spots available for 308 teams, theoretically that gives each team a 60.3% chance of making the playoffs.
If a team wins their first game their playoff chances increase 20% to 80.3%.
If a team loses their first game their playoff chances decrease 18% to 42.0%.
If a team wins their first and second games their playoff chances increase 13% more to 93.2%.
If a team loses their first and second games their playoff chances decrease 14% more to 28.3%.
If a team splits their first and second games their playoff chances are the same 61% as they were at the start of the season.
Parameter |
Record |
Total
Teams |
Teams
That
Make
Playoffs |
%
Teams
That
Make
Playoffs |
Start of Season |
0-0 |
308 |
186 |
60.3 |
After Game 1 |
|
|
|
|
Win 1st game |
1-0 |
305 |
245 |
80.3 |
Lose 1st game |
0-1 |
305 |
128 |
42.0 |
Win 1st game by 30 points or more |
1-0 |
110 |
102 |
92.7 |
Win 1st game by Shutout |
1-0 |
56 |
47 |
83.9 |
Lose 1st game by Shutout |
0-1 |
63 |
18 |
28.6 |
After Game 2 |
|
|
|
|
Win 1st & 2nd games |
2-0 |
191 |
178 |
93.2 |
Split 1st & 2nd games |
1-1 |
232 |
142 |
61.2 |
Lose 1st & 2nd games |
0-2 |
187 |
53 |
28.3 |
Score 100+ points in 1st 2 games |
|
27 |
26 |
96.3 |
After Game 3 |
|
|
|
|
Win first 3 games |
3-0 |
131 |
129 |
98.5 |
Lose first 3 games |
0-3 |
131 |
20 |
15.3 |
After Game 4 |
|
|
|
|
Win first 4 games |
4-0 |
100 |
100 |
100.0 |
Record 3-1 after 4 games |
3-1 |
132 |
126 |
95.5 |
Record 1-3 after 4 games |
1-3 |
146 |
51 |
34.9 |
Lose first 4 games |
0-4 |
91 |
6 |
6.6 |
Make Play Offs Previous Year |
|
|
|
|
Make Play Offs Previous Year (2013-14) |
- |
384 |
292 |
76.0 |
Data from 2014 & 2015 seasons |